Leave a comment

James Frazier’s 2016 Oscar Picks and Predictions

Danny Baldwin's 2016 Oscar Picks and PredictionsDanny made the “suicidal” guess that “Mad Max: Fury Road” would win big. I hope he’s right, but I think he’s wrong!

 

BEST PICTURE

NOMINEES: “The Big Short,” “Bridge of Spies,” “Brooklyn,” “Mad Max: Fury Road,” “The Martian,” “The Revenant,” “Room,” “Spotlight.”

PERSONAL PICK: “Mad Max: Fury Road.”

PREDICTION: “The Revenant.”

* * *

DIRECTOR

NOMINEES: Adam McKay, “The Big Short;” George Miller, “Mad Max: Fury Road;” Alejandro González Iñárritu, “The Revenant;” Lenny Abrahamson, “Room;” Tom McCarthy, “Spotlight.”

PERSONAL PICK: George Miller, “Mad Max: Fury Road.”

PREDICTION: Alejandro González Iñárritu, “The Revenant.”

* * *

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

NOMINEES: Bryan Cranston, “Trumbo;” Matt Damon, “The Martian;” Leonardo DiCaprio, “The Revenant;” Michael Fassbender, “Steve Jobs;” Eddie Redmayne, “The Danish Girl.”

PERSONAL PICK: Michael Fassbender, “Steve Jobs.”

PREDICTION: Leonardo DiCaprio, “The Revenant.”

* * *

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

NOMINEES: Cate Blanchett, “Carol;” Brie Larson, “Room;” Jennifer Lawrence, “Joy;” Charlotte Rampling, “45 Years;” Saoirse Ronan, “Brooklyn.”

PERSONAL PICK: Saoirse Ronan, “Brooklyn.”

PREDICTION: Brie Larson, “Room.”

* * *

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

NOMINEES: Christian Bale, “The Big Short;” Tom Hardy, “The Revenant;” Mark Ruffalo, “Spotlight;” Mark Rylance, “Bridge of Spies;” Sylvester Stallone, “Creed.”

PERSONAL PICK: Sylvester Stallone, “Creed.”

PREDICTION: Sylvester Stallone, “Creed.”

* * *

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

NOMINEES: Jennifer Jason Leigh, “The Hateful Eight;” Rooney Mara, “Carol;” Rachel McAdams, “Spotlight;” Alicia Vikander, “The Danish Girl;” Kate Winslet, “Steve Jobs.”

PERSONAL PICK: Jennifer Jason Leigh, “The Hateful Eight.”

PREDICTION: Alicia Vikander, “The Danish Girl.”

* * *

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)

NOMINEES: Matt Charman, Joel Coen, and Ethan Coen, “Bridge of Spies;” Alex Garland, “Ex Machina;” Pete Docter, “Inside Out;” Tom McCarthy and Josh Singer, “Spotlight;” Andrea Berloff and Jonathan Herman, “Straight Outta Compton.”

PERSONAL PICK: Alex Garland, “Ex Machina.”

PREDICTION: Tom McCarthy and Josh Singer, “Spotlight.”

* * *

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)

NOMINEES: Adam McKay and Charles Randolph, “The Big Short;” Nick Hornby, “Brooklyn;” Phyllis Nagy, “Carol;” Drew Goddard, “The Martian;” Emma Donaghue, “Room.”

PERSONAL PICK: Drew Goddard, “The Martian.”

PREDICTION: Adam McKay and Charles Randolph, “The Big Short.”

* * *

CINEMATOGRAPHY

NOMINEES: Ed Lachmann, “Carol;” Robert Richardson, “The Hateful Eight;” John Seale, “Mad Max: Fury Road;” Emmanuel Lubeszki, “The Revenant;” Roger Deakins, “Sicario.”

PERSONAL PICK: John Seale, “Mad Max: Fury Road.”

PREDICTION: Emmanuel Lubeszki, “The Revenant.”

* * *

FILM EDITING

NOMINEES: “The Big Short,” “Mad Max: Fury Road,” “The Revenant,” “Spotlight,” “Star Wars: The Force Awakens.”

PERSONAL PICK: “Mad Max: Fury Road.”

PREDICTION: “Mad Max: Fury Road.”

* * *

COSTUME DESIGN

NOMINEES: Sandy Powell, “Carol;” Sandy Powell, “Cinderella;” Paco Delgado, “The Danish Girl;” Jenny Beavan, “Mad Max: Fury Road;” Jacqueline West, “The Revenant.”

PERSONAL PICK: Jenny Beavan, “Mad Max: Fury Road.”

PREDICTION: Sandy Powell, “Cinderella.”

* * * 

PRODUCTION DESIGN

NOMINEES: “Bridge of Spies,” “The Danish Girl,” “Mad Max: Fury Road,” “The Martian,” “The Revenant.”

PERSONAL PICK: “Mad Max: Fury Road.”

PREDICTION: “Mad Max: Fury Road.”

* * *

VISUAL EFFECTS

NOMINEES: “Ex Machina,” “Mad Max: Fury Road,” “The Martian,” “The Revenant,” “Star Wars: The Force Awakens.”

PERSONAL PICK: “Mad Max: Fury Road.”

PREDICTION: “Mad Max: Fury Road.”

* * *

SOUND EDITING

NOMINEES: “Mad Max: Fury Road,” “The Martian,” “The Revenant,” “Sicario,” “Star Wars: The Force Awawkens.”

PERSONAL PICK: “Mad Max: Fury Road.”

PREDICTION: “Mad Max: Fury Road.”

* * * 

SOUND MIXING

NOMINEES: “Bridge of Spies,” “Mad Max: Fury Road,” “The Martian,” “The Revenant,” “Star Wars: The Force Awakens.”

PERSONAL PICK: “Mad Max: Fury Road.”

PREDICTION: “Mad Max: Fury Road.”

* * *

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

NOMINEES: “Mad Max: Fury Road,” “The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared,” “The Revenant.”

PERSONAL PICK: “Mad Max: Fury Road.”

PREDICTION: “Mad Max: Fury Road.”

* * *

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)

NOMINEES: Thomas Newman, “Bridge of Spies;” Carter Burwell, “Carol;” Ennio Morricone, “The Hateful Eight;” Jóhan Jóhansson, “Sicario;” John Williams, “Star Wars: The Force Awakens.”

PERSONAL PICK: Ennio Morricone, “The Hateful Eight.”

PREDICTION: Ennio Morricone, “The Hateful Eight.”

* * *

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)

NOMINEES: “Earned It” performed by The Weekend for “Fifty Shades of Grey;” “Manta Ray” performed by J. Ralph for “Racing Extinction;” “Simple Song #3” performed by Sumi Jo for “Youth;” “Til It Happens to You,” performed by Lady Gaga for “The Hunting Ground;” “Writing’s on the Wall” performed by Sam Smith for “Spectre.”

PERSONAL PICK: “Simple Song #3” performed by Sumi Jo for “Youth.”

PREDICTION: “Til It Happens to You,” performed by Lady Gaga for “The Hunting Ground.”

* * *

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

NOMINEES: “Anomalisa,” “Boy and the World,” “Inside Out,” “Shaun the Sheep Movie,” “When Marnie Was There.”

PERSONAL PICK: “Anomalisa.”

PREDICTION: “Inside Out.”

* * *

DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE)

NOMINEES: “Amy,” “Cartel Land,” “The Look of Silence,” “What Happened, Miss Simone?,” “Winter on Fire: Ukraine’s Fight for Freedom.”

PERSONAL PICK: “Cartel Land.”

PREDICTION: “Amy.”

* * *

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

NOMINEES: “Embrace of the Serpent,” “Mustang,” “Son of Saul,” “Theeb,” “A War.”

PERSONAL PICK: No pick.

PREDICTION: “Son of Saul.”

* * *

DOCUMENTARY (SHORT SUBJECT)

NOMINEES: “Body Team 12,” “Chau, Beyond the Lines,” “Claude Lanzmann: Spectres of the Shoah,” “A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness,” “Last Day of Freedom.”

PERSONAL PICK: No pick.

PREDICTION: “Body Team 12.”

* * *

SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)

NOMINEES: “Bear Story,” “Prologue,” “Sanjay’s Super Team,” “We Can’t Live without Cosmos,” “World of Tomorrow.”

PERSONAL PICK: “World of Tomorrow.”

PREDICTION: “Sanjay’s Super Team.”

* * *

SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)

NOMINEES: “Ave Maria,” “Day One,” “Everything Will Be Okay (Alles Wird Gut),” “Shok,” “Stutterer.”

PERSONAL PICK: No pick.

PREDICTION: “Everything Will Be Okay (Alles Wird Gut).”

* * *

Chris Rock hosts the 88th annual Academy Awards at 8:30 p.m. EST / 5:30 p.m. PST on ABC.

About James Frazier

James Frazier is a freelance journalist and film critic. He has written for various newspapers and websites, including the Washington Times. James resides in the Midwest and can be reached at james@criticspeak.com.